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  The Correlation-Causation...

  William Rands

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  The correlation-causation fallacy is a common error in reasoning where people mistakenly believe that because two events or variables are correlated, one must have caused the other. This fallacy is not only widespread but can have significant consequences in various aspects of life, including science, policy-making, and everyday decision-making. It stems from the human tendency to look for patterns and explanations, often leading us to draw conclusions from observed associations without carefully analyzing the underlying mechanisms at play. 
  At its core, the fallacy occurs when a correlation—meaning two variables move together in some way—is confused with a causal relationship, where one variable directly influences or causes changes in the other. Correlation does not imply causation, a principle that is fundamental to sound scientific reasoning and critical thinking. For example, if there is a correlation between the number of hours spent watching TV and the number of people eating unhealthy food, it would be erroneous to conclude that watching TV causes people to eat poorly. Other factors, such as time spent sitting idle or lifestyle choices, could be influencing both variables. The danger of assuming causation based on correlation is that it leads to misguided conclusions, decisions, and actions. 
  This fallacy can often be found in media reports, advertising, and even scientific studies. Headlines like "Studies show that eating chocolate improves memory!" or "Increased spending on education leads to higher student performance" may imply a direct causal relationship based on observed correlations, but they neglect to account for potential confounding variables or the possibility of coincidence. In more complex situations, the misinterpretation of correlations can lead to flawed public policies, ineffective interventions, and misplaced public fear or optimism.

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  J M Barrie and the Lost Boys -...

  Andrew Birkin

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  This literary biography is “a story of obsession and the search for pure childhood . . . Moving, charming, a revelation” (Los Angeles Times).   J. M. Barrie, Victorian novelist, playwright, and author of Peter Pan, or The Boy Who Wouldn’t Grow Up, led a life almost as interesting as his famous creation. Childless in his marriage, Barrie grew close to the five young boys of the Davies family, ultimately becoming their guardian and surrogate father when they were orphaned.   Andrew Birkin draws extensively on a vast range of material by and about Barrie, including notebooks, memoirs, and hours of recorded interviews with the family and their circle, to describe Barrie’s life, the tragedies that shaped him, and the wonderful world of imagination he created for the boys. Updated with a new preface and including photos and illustrations, this “absolutely gripping” read reveals the dramatic story behind one of the classics of children’s literature (Evening Standard).   “A psychological thriller . . . One of the year’s most complex and absorbing biographies.” —Time   “[A] fascinating story.” —The Washington Post

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  Part-Time Writer - Notes and...

  Marjorie Quarton

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  Part-time Writer guides the reader through all aspects of writing – from the embryonic stages of researching and planning, to the hard slog of the writing and editing, through to the presentation of the manuscript, and finally, approaching agents and publishers. At each stage, the author explains how she did it – and how the reader can do it too. * How can I write engaging dialogue? * What can I do to make my characters 'live' on the page? * Must I always 'show and not tell'? * How can I transform a hobby into a book? * When is the right time to show my work to others? * How should I present my manuscript? * Do I need an agent? * Should I self-publish? * Where can I find the time to write a novel? In her inimitable style, Marjorie Quarton merges literary memoir, anecdotes and straight talking to provide invaluable insights into the realities of being a writer, while offering indispensable advice on the trade, making this book a must-have for any aspiring author.

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  Your Brain's Not Broken Workbook...

  Tamara Rosier

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  In her popular book Your Brain's Not Broken, Dr. Tamara Rosier applied her years of coaching others to explain how ADHD affects every aspect of your life so that you could understand why you think, feel, and act the way you do. The result? A book chock-full of practical tools with the power to dramatically improve your life. 
   
  Now this interactive companion workbook helps you personalize all those tools to fit your particular challenges. With plenty of space to write out your ADHD story, guided prompts to help you work through problems, and visual summaries of key concepts, including the Solve-It Grid, this practical workbook is designed specifically to work with the way your amazing brain is wired. The minute you start using it, you are one step closer to losing the shame, loving your brain, and living better with ADHD.

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  American Gulags - Marxist...

  David L. Goetsch, Oliver L....

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  American Gulags show us how to overcome the Marxist indoctrination which has swept across the American government education system. 
   
    
   
  America's system of colleges and universities was once the best in the world. It contributed immeasurably to America's status as the most powerful, productive, and prosperous nation on the globe. Unfortunately, those days are long gone. Today from kindergarten through twelfth grade in the government school system, teaching reading, writing, and math have been supplanted by Marxist indoctrination. Our colleges and universities have become the final training grounds and launching pads for the next waves of Marxist activists. This book equips every American to turn this travesty around.

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  If You Love Me Practice the 50

  Elsa Pena

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  If You Love Me is a guidebook for parents and caregivers, offering 50 different thoughts on how to best nurture and care for children. Author Maria Cordova covers a wide range of topics, from basic health and safety measures like washing your hands and avoiding harmful media, to more complex issues like self-esteem, mental health, and respecting other cultures. Cordova emphasizes the importance of positive reinforcement, discipline, and communication in raising happy, healthy, and respectful children. Each chapter is focused on a specific topic, with practical advice and guidance for parents and caregivers. Cordova urges readers to be role models for their children, to respect their individual needs and interests, and to always prioritize their safety and well-being. She stresses the importance of teaching children to make good choices, to be kind and courteous, and to develop a strong sense of self-worth. With its accessible writing style and practical advice, If You Love Me is an invaluable resource for anyone who cares for children. Whether you're parent, grandparent, teacher, or babysitter, Cordova's insights will help you navigate the challenges of raising happy and healthy kids.

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