The Premortem - A Proactive Strategy For Decision-Making
Publishing Cambridge Review
Verlag: Cambridge Review Publishing
Beschreibung
THE PREMORTEM A PROACTIVE STRATEGY FOR DECISION-MAKING (PSYCHOLOGY & BEHAVIOR) WRITTEN BY: CAMBRIDGE REVIEW PUBLISHING ABOUT THIS BOOK This book has been crafted by integrating the insights and expertise of numerous renowned international specialists in the field. Rather than relying on a single or average source, it draws from a rich combination of premium, authoritative perspectives, ensuring that readers gain access to the highest quality knowledge available. CONTENT: The Pervasiveness Of Overconfidence In Judgment The Dual Systems Of Thought: Fast And Slow Thinking The "What You See Is All There Is" (Wysiati) Principle Jumping To Conclusions: Efficiency And Its Risks The Narrative Fallacy: Constructing Coherent, But Flawed, Stories The Halo Effect: Exaggerating Consistency In Evaluations Hindsight And Outcome Biases: The Illusion Of Predictability The Planning Fallacy: Why Our Forecasts Are Overly Optimistic The Inside And Outside Views: A Critical Distinction In Forecasting Cognitive Ease And Strain: Signals From System 1 Heuristics And Biases: The Shortcut Tendencies Of Intuitive Judgment The Stubbornness Of Optimism: Why Training Alone Fails The Premortem: A Proactive Defense Against Failure Unleashing Doubt And Overcoming Groupthink Through Premortem Thinking Better: Integrating Skepticism And Intuition For Smarter Decisions
